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July 15, 2025 at 9:15 a.m. EST
S&P futures were trading near the day’s high ahead of today’s earnings kick-off and CPI data, jumping earlier in the overnight session following Nvidia’s announcement that it has received assurances from the US government that it can re-start sales of its H20 AI chip in China. That news lifted the semis group in the pre-market. Following a slightly cooler than expected Core CPI print futures moved up again but are off the highs. Yields bounced around on the data but are heading lower with the 2y flat, 10y/30y down 3bp. Odds of a 25bp cut in September are largely unchanged from yesterday. Headline CPI was inline with expectations and up from last month while Core CPI (ex-food and energy) came in below expectations and was also up slightly from last month. It was the fifth straight Core CPI print below expectations; however the data is showing signs of a tariff impact. Earnings season kicked off this morning with the major banks and financial firms reporting solid results but are trading lower. JP Morgan, Wells Fargo and Citigroup beat and bottom lines but shared were trading lower in the pre-market.
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