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Market Strategy Analyst
October 4, 2024 at 6:30 p.m. EDT
This week marked the end of Q3 with solid performance across assets. Sound corporate earnings, artificial intelligence momentum, broadening out, and the beginning of the Fed easing cycle were among the main drivers. Calendar Q4 started with de-risking as investors ponder geopolitical risk and Fed interest rate cut uncertainty. While other economic data was mixed, the BLS payrolls report topped estimates leading to Fed cuts being priced out. Extended positioning and algo trading amplified market reactions. The VIX and 1d vol tilting higher. With 31 days before the U.S election, expect a spike in volatility. Looking ahead, U.S inflation and the start of the Q3 corporate earnings season will be the main catalysts. After three days of strike, U.S dock workers agreed to pause it following a wage increase and contract extension until Jan 15 as negotiations continue.
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