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May 23, 2025 at 6:00 p.m. EST
Last week after the China trade détente and some deal making by President Trump in the Middle East, which reinvigorated the AI trade, helped US markets close higher in every session. For the week the S&P 500 was up ~5%, crossing multiple major milestones along the way. Since the depths of the market’s tariff tantrum the S&P 500 had rallied >20% from the low, it reclaimed its 200d ma and was back in positive territory for the year. The fact that it was options expiration seemed to be adding to some of the upside pressure and we questioned whether the rolling off of those positions would open the door for a return of volatility after one of the fast declines in the VIX from >40 to <20 in history.
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